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EcoBleak: Top Economists Discuss The Downturn And Cleantech

The NYT Freakonomics column is attempting to figure out what affect the economic downturn is going to have on the clean technology industry. By asking three of the leading experts in the field (George Tolley, Professor Emeritus of Economics at the University of visit our site levitra purchase Chicago and tramadol cod imitrex diet pill president of RCF Inc.; John Whitehead, professor in the Department of Economics at Appalachian State University and contributor to the blog Environmental Economics; and Ethan Zindler, head of North American research at New Energy Finance) Freakonomics has done a pretty good job of summarizing what 2009 will probably look like.

If you're looking for a great wealth of analysis, head to the original article. But if you don't have time for that, here's a quick summary:

The cost of fossil fuel is we choice buy cialis canada dropping once again, so the cost differential between renewables and fossil fuels is widening, not closing (like it was for years.) In short, that's bad news. It's also bad news that people will have less disposable income with which they will choose renewables (when given the choice.)

And, in the short term, there's less capital for investments and IPO's, for certain. But the discount viagra australia fundamentals of only now cialis buy now the sector are extremely strong. Oil and natural gas prices remain historically high, state and federal renewable energy mandates remain in place, and the possibility for further carbon regulation is extremely strong.

In short, everyone expects things to stagnate for a little while, but the sector will remain an important growth industry, and the possibilities for exponential growth in wind, solar and other renewables remain strong.

Via Freakonomics

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Comments (6)Add Comment
Oil and gas prices are at historical low
written by Doc Rings, January 09, 2009
I agree with your concern over loss of IPO and monies for funding green tech... just wanted to correct your comment on viagra dosage historical gas and oil prices, which are at near all time low prices, when corrected for inflation. That will change soon enough, and experts are already saying that the drop in oil prices is very temporary. Within three years oil prices will be at least double what they are now, and people will again be thinking green. This influence of money swings both ways.
Long term cleantech outlook -- STRONG
written by John Bancroft, January 09, 2009
My point is this VC's invested 7.7 billion in Greentech last year. These folks are smart enough to see the global recession coming (I mean Roubinni's been calling for it for the past 18 months). They obviously took this slowdown into consideration, and still feel that these investments make sound economic sense.
written by Tom, January 09, 2009
I read a similar article to the one John Bancroft sites. I agree that there are a lot of smart people who have invested and continue to invest in Greentech. I think the important thing to take away from this post is that there is potential for exponential growth that is we use it levitra best price waiting just around the corner.
written by Jim Walker, January 10, 2009
Affect= Love and affection!!
Effect= Cause and effect
I hate English too, but you have to be able to communicate EFFECTIVELY. Otherwise good job on the blogs!
Invest Baby Invest
written by dave, January 14, 2009
2008 was the apex of wanton corporatists running amok.Most American buisness models can't function with oil prices at or above $100 a barrel.High oil prices were a quick fix for their short sightedness.The need to invest in cleaner technology has become apparent.Invest all that you can.
written by aaaaaa, January 18, 2009
I'd like to add another point of view as a working scientist who just finished grad school a couple years ago. There are essentially no jobs available right now for people like me (physics phds), and I believe this will have a very positive effect on "green tech" as well as other very new technologies. What's happening is that without traditional career routes such as corporate R&D, government lab permanent positions, or tenure-track faculty jobs, a surprisingly large number of my fellow recent phd's are considering striking out on their own to survive. Since almost everyone of my generation *wants* to work on green tech of look here levitra levitra one kind or another, these desperate times are likely going to push many more scientists into green tech fields than would happen in better times when more traditional jobs are easy to come by.

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